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2024-12-14 01:50:44

BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar hit 1.05 upwards, rising by 0.33% in the day.2 trillion yuan of special refinancing bonds will be issued next week. According to China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue the eleventh batch of government bonds in Beijing in 2024 by tender on December 18th. By then, the task of issuing 2 trillion yuan of local government refinancing special bonds to "replace the hidden debts in stock" will be completed during the year. At present, 29 provinces have disclosed the issuance arrangement of special refinancing special bonds, while Guangdong Province and Shanghai did not participate in this round of hidden debt swap. (Securities Times)


Market News: Trump's assistant asked Trump if it was possible to abolish the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).New york street folk "wanted order" aggravates business panic. In addition to the killed CEO, there are also financial executives. new york police are investigating the so-called "wanted order" posted on the streets of Manhattan aimed at business executives. On these "wanted orders", in addition to Brian Thompson, a senior figure of insurance giant UnitedHealth Group Inc, who was shot dead in the street last Wednesday, there are also portraits of senior executives of financial enterprises. Thompson's photo was marked with a red cross. This is the latest in a series of events that caused anxiety among business leaders after Thompson was shot. A spokesman for the new york Police Department said that in addition to these notices, there has been a surge in online threats against corporate executives. Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old man accused of Thompson's murder, was arrested with a declaration condemning the profiteering of the medical industry, saying that "these parasites are purely asking for it". According to a law enforcement agency document, new york police said that they were on high alert for "the risk that extremists of all colors may regard Mangione as a martyr and follow an example". "These arguments may indicate that the threats faced by executives will intensify in the short term," the document said.Italian Finance Minister: GDP will increase by 0.7% in 2024.


Apple is said to start producing a key wireless chip currently provided by Broadcom next year. Apple's ambition to use self-developed components on its equipment will include switching to Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection chips developed by itself from next year, which will replace some components currently provided by Broadcom. According to informed sources, this chip code-named Proxima has been developed for several years, and now it is planned to start the first batch of production in 2025. Like other self-developed chips of Apple, Proxima will be produced by its partner TSMC. This plan is independent of Apple's much-anticipated plan to replace the Qualcomm wireless modem, but the two parts will eventually work together. People familiar with the matter said that Apple's goal is to develop an end-to-end wireless solution that is tightly integrated with other components and more energy-efficient.Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)BYD Lian Yubo: It is estimated that BYD will sell 4.25 million vehicles in the whole year. On December 13th, BYD's chief scientist Lian Yubo said: "Up to now, BYD has sold more than 10 million new energy vehicles. By the end of this month, we can probably achieve the annual sales of 4.25 million vehicles. " He also mentioned: "There are still some challenges in industrial development. For example, the overall anti-risk ability of our industrial chain needs to be improved, and there are still breakthroughs in chips, operating technologies, industrial software and nuclear materials. We still need to strengthen research and achieve complete autonomy and controllability."

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